Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially estimated to have a 2.3% chance of impacting Earth by February 6, now has a mere 0.004% (or 1 in 25,000) probability of colliding with our planet on December 22, 2032. This drastic reduction in odds is attributed to astronomers’ observations and NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope accurately tracking the asteroid’s size. Measuring between 130ft and 300ft in length, the asteroid’s potential impact would be equivalent to an explosion like hundreds of nuclear bombs.
Interestingly, there is a small chance – approximately 3.8% (or 4.3% after May JWST) – that Asteroid 2024 YR4 could hit the moon’s Earth-facing side in 2032, causing a significant impact. NASA’s Lucy spacecraft narrowly missed the asteroid due to its speed and distance.
Tina Zimmermann
@TinaZimmermann4
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Jul 6 A “City Killer” Asteroid with a 3% Chance of hitting Earth, has now been downgraded to .0004%BUT, it has a 1.7% chance of hitting the mean Moon.
always ..17MJTRUTH
Andrew Higgins
@A_J_Higgins
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Jul 4 Estimates I’ve seen suggest asteroid impacts are 100 to 1,000 times more likely than comet impacts, but now that we’ve ruled out—or are closely monitoring— greater than 99% of potentially hazardous near-Earth objects, our focus should probably shift to the cometary threat.
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