62% Chance of U.S. Conflict with Iran: How Bitcoin Stands Strong at $105,000

Bitcoin (BTC) remains just under $105,000, experiencing a slight 1.4% drop in the last 24 hours. Despite escalating tensions in the Middle East, BTC has not shown signs of panic. The perceived odds of U.S. military action against Iran before August stand at 73%, with the overall chance of U.S. involvement in the conflict rising to 62% on prediction market Polymarket. Corporate buying continues to support demand, with Strategy adding over 10,000 BTC and The Blockchain Group adding 182 BTC this week. Bitcoin rewards firm Fold secured a $250 million facility for bitcoin purchases, while Mercury Fintech plans to raise $800 million for a bitcoin treasury. The Senate’s approval of the GENIUS Act, the first major crypto legislation, is seen as a positive development for the industry. Deribit’s BTC Volatility Index (DVOL) is currently at 40.86, down from over 62 in early April.

Source: www.coindesk.com

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xpapi @1MrPapi · 18h
So far it appears Iran isn’t capable of mounting an overwhelming response. Overall crypto looks strong here, risk is likely priced in as long as the US doesn’t put ‘boots on ground.’ ~ $BTC & $ETH look great on higher timeframes ~Top 10 alts averaged only a 5.5% drop this week

CryptoAlert @SatoshiWatch · Jun 13
JUST IN: Bitcoin Holds Strong Amid Iran-Israel Tensions Bitcoin $BTC stands at $105,312.21, down 0.39% today despite Iran’s response to Israel’s attack. The crypto market shows resilience. #IranIsrael #Iran #Israel

Viro ꙰ @virotechnics · 14h
I will GLADLY CONTINUE fading ALL of you – Iran is extremely weak & will surrender SOON – their leader is weak & 85 years old, not Saddam – their populace does not support him, it’s not Iraq – People think US would be a downside catalyst, it’s actually the immediate end of the

Professor Mike @professorMike01 · Jun 15
$BTC Can Dump Anytime – Be Prepared! Dear Binancians, due to the current war situation between Iran and Israel, the crypto market is on extremely thin support. $BTC is showing artificial strength—mainly pumped by whale entries. #طهران #lovefighters

CryptoWala | A₿RAR KHAN @cryptowalax · Jun 14
BREAKING: #Bitcoin steady at $K105 while #iran #Israel conflict intensifies When the world burns, smart money runs to the hardest asset. Bitcoin isn’t just surviving — it’s proving a point. #BTC #BitcoinStandard #Geopolitics #SafeHavenasset #IsraeliranWar #iranisraelwar

Crypto Decode @TheCryptoDecode · Jun 15
Bitcoin Holds Strong Despite missiles flying between Israel & Iran, the Fear & Greed Index still reads “Greed” (60). $BTC only dipped 2.8% — still above $105K. Markets may have already priced in the conflict.