As millions of travelers take to the skies over the July 4 holiday period, airlines are grappling with a decline in airfare. According to fare-tracker Hopper, domestic airfare this summer is averaging $265 for a round-trip flight, down 3% from last year and the cheapest since 2021. Airfare in the May U.S. inflation report was down more than 7% from a year ago.
Airlines have pulled their forecasts for 2025, citing economic uncertainty as the reason. Southwest Airlines CEO Bob Jordan said that while the airline is stable where it is, there has been no inflection point back to stronger demand. To cut unprofitable flights, airlines are planning to reduce capacity on off-peak days after the major summer travel season.
The Transportation Security Administration expects to screen more than 18.5 million travelers at U.S. airports from last Tuesday through next Monday, with no single day expected to top the nearly 3.1 million travelers that went through checkpoints on June 22, an agency record.
International trips originating from the U.S. have been a strong corner of air travel, but fares have eased for trips abroad as well. International flights from U.S. airports are up 4.3% from last summer, with fares from the U.S. to Europe averaging $817, down almost $100 from last year and on par with 2019. Flights to Asia were going for $1,328 on average in June, July or August, down 13% from last year.
As airlines prepare to report their quarterly earnings, investors will be looking for commentary on any green shoots in demand and further capacity cuts could be viewed positively.
Source: www.cnbc.com

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