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5-Year Inflation Rate Drops to 2.32%: Is a Crypto Rebound on the Horizon?

The U.S.-China trade war has led to retaliatory tariffs exceeding 100%. These tariffs increase the cost of imported goods, potentially raising the general price level in the U.S. Since the trade war began, bitcoin has fallen nearly 20%. However, market-based measures of inflation suggest that tariffs could be disinflationary over the long term. The five-year breakeven inflation rate has dropped from above 2.6% in early February to 2.32%, while the 10-year rate has decreased from 2.5% to 2.19%. The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland’s expected two-year inflation rate remains at about 2.6%. Analysts suggest that tariffs, as a one-time cost adjustment, may lead to reduced consumer spending and lower prices, contributing to disinflation in advanced economies. This could prompt the Federal Reserve to cut rates, potentially boosting risk assets like bitcoin.

Source: www.coindesk.com

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