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Who Should Be Holding the Wheel?

Two arguments get run together constantly and they are separate: how far this technology actually goes, and who should be allowed to hold it. You can expect enormous change and want it handed to everybody. You can think the whole thing is overrated and still want a licence on it.

Twenty-four statements, about four minutes, and a point on a map. One of these two questions is a forecast, so your result carries the date it was taken.

24 questions

Answered 0 of 24

  1. 1 The important things about these systems are the ones already in front of us.
  2. 2 The important things about these systems have not been built yet.
  3. 3 Openness here mostly benefits whoever already has the most hardware.
  4. 4 A small number of well-resourced groups will do this more carefully than a free-for-all would.
  5. 5 Building the largest systems should require a licence, the way other serious things do.
  6. 6 The problems left are the kind that take decades rather than quarters.
  7. 7 Something that can do most of what a competent person does is coming into view.
  8. 8 The pace of the last few years has run ahead of what I expected.
  9. 9 The systems we have now are close to what this approach can do.
  10. 10 Progress here looks faster than it is because the easy part came first.
  11. 11 Predictions about what this technology will do have a poor track record.
  12. 12 Governments should have a say in what gets released.
  13. 13 People are better served by being able to look inside these systems than by being protected from them.
  14. 14 Within ten years these systems will do a large share of the work people are paid for today.
  15. 15 Rules written for this will mostly protect whoever wrote them.
  16. 16 The list of things these systems cannot do is getting shorter quickly.
  17. 17 Concentrating this in a few hands is a worse outcome than the misuse it would prevent.
  18. 18 Anything one group can do with these, others should be able to do too.
  19. 19 I would rather many groups had this than one group had it well.
  20. 20 The systems we have now are an early version of what this approach can do.
  21. 21 The most capable systems should only be run by organizations that answer to somebody.
  22. 22 Most of what gets called progress here is the same method applied at greater scale.
  23. 23 Some things a system can do should not be handed to everyone.
  24. 24 Weights should be published so that anyone can run them.