Copper prices have risen 12% this year, reaching $5.10 per pound on COMEX. Historically, copper and bitcoin have shown a strong positive correlation. The copper-gold ratio, a key indicator for bitcoin’s best years, is also on the rise. However, the current copper rally is driven by factors like President Trump’s trade tariffs rather than positive global economic cues. These tariffs pose risks to both the U.S. and global economies, leading the Federal Reserve to adjust growth and inflation forecasts. Despite the rally, the correlation between copper and the Australian dollar, a major copper exporter, has weakened. Australia ranks as the world’s 7th largest copper producer and 3rd largest exporter, with a historical correlation coefficient over 0.80 with the AUD. Meanwhile, China, the largest importer of commodities, has introduced a significant stimulus plan to boost domestic consumption amid external uncertainties. This plan aims to increase household income, spur spending, and support population growth. Early data from the first two months of the year shows Chinese consumption, investment, and industrial production surpassing estimates, contributing to the copper price increase.
Source: www.coindesk.com

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